Canada is entering 2026 with a steadier housing market, but ongoing uncertainty around rates, employment, and affordability. This outlook breaks down what we’re watching from the Bank of Canada, why bond yields still matter, and what major forecasters expect for home prices and sales this year.

The Bank of Canada lowered its overnight rate to 2.25% on October 29, 2025. Here's what's driving the decision and how it affects your mortgage strategy — whether you're on a variable rate or considering locking in.